tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post5016007068776402060..comments2024-03-18T20:11:18.451-05:00Comments on The Minnesota Forecaster: Snow Possiblities for Next Week?Billhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02905775514055182861noreply@blogger.comBlogger67125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-48903689994977229892011-11-14T09:01:18.477-06:002011-11-14T09:01:18.477-06:00Just added a new post to discuss weather for the c...Just added a new post to discuss weather for the coming weekend, Thanksgiving and beyond.Billhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02905775514055182861noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-12559371306111218332011-11-14T08:52:25.102-06:002011-11-14T08:52:25.102-06:00Bill time for a new heading,White Thanksgiving Pos...Bill time for a new heading,White Thanksgiving Possible for some!,might be a good headline for ur post,looking at the overnight models if the euro pans out we could get our first snowfall in the metro,then again everything could go east like last storm,time will tellbig daddynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-69884703695376033252011-11-14T01:44:57.435-06:002011-11-14T01:44:57.435-06:00As this feed wraps up, there is yet another system...As this feed wraps up, there is yet another system of interest on the horizon that could very well end up being discussed. System is for this coming Saturday night, with the European model further east than the GFS. Both do show a good chance at some accumulating snow across parts of western, NW, central, and NC MN, however given the models fairly poor job at handling the last system, I wouldn't get our hopes up yet. At this point, the Euro is the more favorable one to put down a good chunk of snow in a larger portion of MN. We'll see how this system does end up playing out, but with the last system trending east in time, this one trending east would just put more areas of MN in the cold sector.Duanehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10787345530045701289noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-11061319412284775182011-11-13T20:48:50.025-06:002011-11-13T20:48:50.025-06:00From a current STRIB article on the drought...
&q...From a current STRIB article on the drought...<br /><br />"Weather watchers generally are describing the current drought as a short-lived, typical variation, likely to be overpowered soon by larger atmospheric forces that are setting the table for a colder- and wetter-than-normal winter. The short-term forecast for the Twin Cities calls for sunny weather through this week, but the national Climate Prediction Center is indicating strong chances of above-normal precipitation across Minnesota between now and Thanksgiving."<br /><br />Don't current forecasts go through TG? How can those forecasts be dry and the climate prediction center say precip is going to be above normal? Is the CPC forecast old? This simply doesn't make sense to me.ABnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-85017967725354395922011-11-13T20:13:27.571-06:002011-11-13T20:13:27.571-06:00I'll believe it when I see it.
There's pl...I'll believe it when I see it.<br /><br />There's plenty of time before we need to worry about a brown Christmas, but my frustration stems from the fact that we've been dry all but a hand full of days since mid-August. That doesn't bode well for wet conditions to develop during the driest months of our calendar year.ABnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-11690362938292631932011-11-13T12:24:26.888-06:002011-11-13T12:24:26.888-06:00Something brewing for next weekend,maybe a storm w...Something brewing for next weekend,maybe a storm we can actually latch onto,seems like initially can be a rain to snow situation,let's see if we can some interesting weather to discuss!what does it look like to you randyinchamplinBig daddynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-56201171422025258052011-11-12T20:29:00.124-06:002011-11-12T20:29:00.124-06:00Good info, Randy. I heard the same thing from Ian....Good info, Randy. I heard the same thing from Ian. He also predicted that Dec and Feb would be 5-7 degrees colder than normal with Feb. 3-5 degrees colder than normal.Billhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02905775514055182861noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-14735508522879160722011-11-12T19:40:10.448-06:002011-11-12T19:40:10.448-06:00@Marcoux MN..
The trends according to the models ...@Marcoux MN..<br /><br />The trends according to the models at this time show no problem with you getting your dinner "dog walk in". As a matter of fact it could be quite warm, but that is just a trend. Aloft they are showing us under a ridge, at the surface they are showing us under the influence of High pressure area, but the source region for that is either from the nw pacific or sw US, not Canada...I sure hope that holds out, btw that is not a forecast, to early to tell if that will verify.randyinchamplinnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-29350761053816143982011-11-12T19:17:16.437-06:002011-11-12T19:17:16.437-06:00Bill: Update on our local met's snowfall predi...Bill: Update on our local met's snowfall predictions, plus those of us amateurs who dared to put out a prediction. In addition I also included one private forecast company who bills itself as a national weather station, but who in reality shows a heavy bias towards the east coast, can any one guess who?<br /><br />The pro's:<br />Dave Dahl 75"<br />Paul Huttner 50-60"<br />Paul Douglas 50-55"<br />Ian Leonard 60-70" (at least I think that is what he said during his winter special, although he didn't say I am forecasting that much he strongly hinted at it) <br />ACCU 56"<br /><br />The am's<br /><br />Bill 43.1"<br />Rigil 61"<br />Randyinchamplin 71"<br /> <br />Did I miss anyone? and has anyone heard if the Weather Channel has put one out?randyinchamplinnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-88775161784343742502011-11-12T15:55:05.897-06:002011-11-12T15:55:05.897-06:00Snow?! I don’t care what the forecasters say…don’...Snow?! I don’t care what the forecasters say…don’t even put that thought out there! My HOPE—no measurable snowfall until after Thanksgiving. (We prefer our after Thanksgiving dinner “dog walk” WITHOUT snow.) We’ll see who wins—positive thinkers or forcasters… ;-)Marcoux MNnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-82937286526996029482011-11-12T11:13:38.777-06:002011-11-12T11:13:38.777-06:00Such boring weather right now, looking for ANYTHIN...Such boring weather right now, looking for ANYTHING that could change that. Next Sunday bears watching I think, that looks like it could turn into somethingMarcnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-31123052225417408632011-11-11T01:54:32.705-06:002011-11-11T01:54:32.705-06:00YES Novak the pattern needs to break,this is borin...YES Novak the pattern needs to break,this is boring stuff,would be nice to get some snow we are about due doesn't everyone think so,well if you want to hang your hat on something accuweather has a rain changing to snow event around Nov. 20/21,dropping temps from the 40's to the 20's,but that is 10 days out and accuweather is hardly accurate and I'm sure when I look at it tommorrow it will change and be sunny and 50.big daddynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-76631073494703725642011-11-10T16:57:25.113-06:002011-11-10T16:57:25.113-06:00From PD's Wednesday blog:
Winter may be tardy...From PD's Wednesday blog:<br /><br />Winter may be tardy, but does this mean an easy winter is inevitable? That's a leap of logic I'm not yet prepared to make. I've gone on record saying the drought will linger into the winter. My hunch: a dry rut into at least the first half of winter. That should translate into less snow through December.ABnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-7913443494926171852011-11-10T16:34:17.091-06:002011-11-10T16:34:17.091-06:00@Novak, if you asked Texas, they'd say no, it ...@Novak, if you asked Texas, they'd say no, it doesn't need to break.ABnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-28900059882118487312011-11-10T16:26:54.643-06:002011-11-10T16:26:54.643-06:00Honestly, I have not been this frustrated in quite...Honestly, I have not been this frustrated in quite some time. The current drought in MN is perplexing. Iowa and Wisconsin gets hammered and the western Dakotas get hammered. We seem to be in a shell and/or island all on our own.<br /><br />This pattern needs to break, doesn't it?NovakWeather on FACEBOOK & Twitternoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-63476029308322099142011-11-10T16:02:42.072-06:002011-11-10T16:02:42.072-06:00Chicago to South Bend has been getting lake effect...Chicago to South Bend has been getting lake effect snow showers all day. Until this moment, I was okay with our slow start to winter. Now I'm jealous...and nervous (because of how dry it's been since late August). Is this going to be one of those depressing cold, snowless winters??? More concerning, is it the beginning of a prolonged drought?ABnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-41148387646698403642011-11-09T23:57:15.148-06:002011-11-09T23:57:15.148-06:00well you can all rest easy now,we got our first tr...well you can all rest easy now,we got our first trace of snow for the season,been snowing for an hour here in eden praire(flurries,snow shower)nothing major be we can say we finally saw our first flakesbig daddynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-12506457569443690902011-11-09T22:23:11.523-06:002011-11-09T22:23:11.523-06:00Wintery mix is falling in Carver county. It's...Wintery mix is falling in Carver county. It's not rain, nor snow, nor sleet...somewhere between all three.ABnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-69964182659170973042011-11-09T21:58:03.948-06:002011-11-09T21:58:03.948-06:00First flurries in Red WingFirst flurries in Red Wingcwy21noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-5507070460158892962011-11-09T21:48:15.966-06:002011-11-09T21:48:15.966-06:00Thanks AB. Good thing we live in a place where, pr...Thanks AB. Good thing we live in a place where, presumably, we'll have more opportunity to spot a flake or two!Billhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02905775514055182861noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-9540048632963112942011-11-09T21:41:17.982-06:002011-11-09T21:41:17.982-06:00Flurries and light snow showers are working their ...Flurries and light snow showers are working their way down highway 10 from northwestern MN. Future radar shows it falling apart some, but moving into the metro in the early morning hours. We'll see if it holds up, but if you're determined to see the first flakes of the year, set your alarms for 4 a.m., people!!!ABnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-83923550321133402011-11-09T18:11:05.951-06:002011-11-09T18:11:05.951-06:00@ Duane, couldn't agree more, very nicely said...@ Duane, couldn't agree more, very nicely said.<br /><br />@AB, On Monday night's blog I remember seeing something from Paul Douglas that his eyes were wide open for se MNrandyinchamplinnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-64966286399205085772011-11-09T17:12:50.697-06:002011-11-09T17:12:50.697-06:00PD was using an inch, I believe, as the measuremen...PD was using an inch, I believe, as the measurement. I'm not saying his data was right, but it is what he said.ABnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-7822189950820534732011-11-09T15:52:09.522-06:002011-11-09T15:52:09.522-06:00The NWS posted a video on Facebook yesterday, expl...The NWS posted a video on Facebook yesterday, explaining the east shift in the track, and the reasoning behind it. It's a good video with a good explination. Although we didn't see the snow, this system was forecast correctly, given the model data that was out there. It really did look like models locked in on a solution, giving SE MN and Western WI a good amount of snow. It just goes to show how much things can change in a short time. Weather service was also good with issuing the watch. It was placed in the correct area, again, given the model data that was there. Plus, a watch is just a heads up saying that things may happen. I really hopoe the models don't do this for the rest of winter though, or it will be a long winter of forecasting.Duanenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-82828373254602266312011-11-09T13:05:28.285-06:002011-11-09T13:05:28.285-06:00I guess PD is referring to at least a trace. I too...I guess PD is referring to at least a trace. I took a look at my historical data and I found that as recently as the 2004-2005 winter, MSP did not get its first inch of snow until January 21st 2005.<br />That winter only ended up with 25.5 inches!!!Rigil Kentnoreply@blogger.com