tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post8990742002826661358..comments2024-03-26T10:45:14.207-05:00Comments on The Minnesota Forecaster: Time to Buck UpBillhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02905775514055182861noreply@blogger.comBlogger35125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-31840723791661131412019-02-04T23:21:07.779-06:002019-02-04T23:21:07.779-06:00New thread just issued for the possibly snowy week...New thread just issued for the possibly snowy week.Billhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02905775514055182861noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-21771777717639135602019-02-04T23:16:08.605-06:002019-02-04T23:16:08.605-06:00That's the sentiment that started the blog... ...That's the sentiment that started the blog... seeing how accurate forecasts were. Course I've fallen down on that goal, but it's still worth it.Billhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02905775514055182861noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-20497138156425890862019-02-04T20:52:12.748-06:002019-02-04T20:52:12.748-06:00PWL you must be dancing like crazy!PWL you must be dancing like crazy!WeatherGeekhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14741160280149154934noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-74898301124947971732019-02-04T19:52:15.633-06:002019-02-04T19:52:15.633-06:00Point forecast (Wx Underground) for my neighborhoo...Point forecast (Wx Underground) for my neighborhood west of the metro calls for 10-16” Tuesday-Thursday. JAWhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07135780354845476308noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-70652044437554668712019-02-04T19:48:52.269-06:002019-02-04T19:48:52.269-06:00NOAA has upped the totals: 7-13 inches through TH ...NOAA has upped the totals: 7-13 inches through TH evening. Novak has the metro within the 'ground zero' location on his FB snow total prediction map. PWL.... DANCE. And p.s..... I know there will be people here who doubt the totals, and that's fine. I've been posting updates because I want to see how accurate they are or how off they are.WeatherGeekhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14741160280149154934noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-5429049838520464662019-02-04T14:19:54.348-06:002019-02-04T14:19:54.348-06:00Ha, thought i might strike a nerve :) winter weath...Ha, thought i might strike a nerve :) winter weather is fickle, hard to say anything is a slam dunk especially far out, heck even in 24-48 hours as we have seen. It can be frustrating when your in line and then bupkiss. Keep that positivity flowing BA! Active Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-50094833500628825092019-02-04T10:53:36.466-06:002019-02-04T10:53:36.466-06:00@Boring Anonymous - I dunno...when talking about a...@Boring Anonymous - I dunno...when talking about a forecast 6 days out 'snow likely' tells me that models are indicating it will snow. The commentary portion is where the 'low confidence' comes in and the reasons for the low confidence in what the models are predicting are discussed. It seems like you want weather prediction to be black/white but in reality there are so many nuances. SWMplsGirlhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06574619709828661675noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-69482139999055879532019-02-04T09:31:43.802-06:002019-02-04T09:31:43.802-06:00Haha! I love what you did there @Active. Truth be ...Haha! I love what you did there @Active. Truth be told I am a fan of snow and would surely welcome plenty of it for the line of work I’m in, boring weather during winter months are horrible. My posts although doesn’t ooz with optimism for snow shows just how inconsistent the NWS is, from “snow likely” to 20% to 2-5” that’s not helpful, they need to stay the course or not jump on any one solution per day. Perfect example is tomorrow and then look at this coming Sunday it already says “snow likely” but if you read their discussion they have very low confidence. When you say the word “likely” I don’t know about you but to me it means it will happen but then the next day you pull it and then two days later you add it back in, to me you have lost all credibility. Why not just say chance of snow(without percentages) until it’s clear it will or will not happen! Just my two cents, but as far as this week goes, LET IT SNOW!!Boring Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-42470945093225443652019-02-04T07:59:57.937-06:002019-02-04T07:59:57.937-06:00Active week on tap,bring it! Active week on tap,bring it! Active Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-35699582136197254452019-02-04T07:18:01.263-06:002019-02-04T07:18:01.263-06:00LOL. Here is NOAA's forecast as of their speci...LOL. Here is NOAA's forecast as of their special weather statement this morning. Let's see how it plays out as the days progress:From NOAA's mouth: This week will feature two rounds of accumulating snow. One round will push through Tuesday and early Tuesday evening. The Tuesday evening commute will be impacted. Total accumulation: 2-4 inches.<br />will push through Tuesday and early Tuesday evening. <br /><br />The second round will push in late Wednesday and continue into Thursday evening. Thursday commutes are likely to be impacted and Wednesday evening commute as well: 4-6 inches with the second round.WeatherGeekhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14741160280149154934noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-78133715756702959672019-02-04T06:52:36.741-06:002019-02-04T06:52:36.741-06:00I don't kow about, PWL, dancing. It seems to ...I don't kow about, PWL, dancing. It seems to actually work the other way when he does. Sit PWL, sit.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-60112734854326811952019-02-04T05:09:58.999-06:002019-02-04T05:09:58.999-06:00Mr. Lynch just reported 2-4 inches tomorrow (T) an...Mr. Lynch just reported 2-4 inches tomorrow (T) and another 6 W/Th??? Really? It is going to be an exciting week. Dance, dance, dance, PWL.WeatherGeekhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14741160280149154934noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-25339225276570106142019-02-03T22:20:58.786-06:002019-02-03T22:20:58.786-06:00Ian Leonard from channel 9 just said 1-2 for Thurs...Ian Leonard from channel 9 just said 1-2 for Thursdays snow...benhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12853852956090913283noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-42536677439593317692019-02-03T21:31:56.106-06:002019-02-03T21:31:56.106-06:00Here we go again. Models spitting out crazy amount...Here we go again. Models spitting out crazy amounts of show late this week. Will be fun to watch. <br /><br />Nasty ice tonight. Not Paul Douglashttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16778922218590382489noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-16534068737043845742019-02-03T19:57:37.584-06:002019-02-03T19:57:37.584-06:00Agreed, though the chance for ice tonight/tomorrow...Agreed, though the chance for ice tonight/tomorrow morning does not sound appetizing. But BRING the snow, YES!WeatherGeekhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14741160280149154934noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-52146521037377992612019-02-03T16:33:00.700-06:002019-02-03T16:33:00.700-06:00I am excited for multiple snow chances this week a...I am excited for multiple snow chances this week and even into the weekend/start of next week. I love this active pattern. It is so much more exciting than seeing and reading a forecast that has NOTHING on the 7-day and just a boring discussion. So i say BRING IT!!! BRING IT!!Plymouth Weather Lovernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-7484080760760992262019-02-02T20:10:58.699-06:002019-02-02T20:10:58.699-06:00Well well well the “snow likely” for Wednesday nig...Well well well the “snow likely” for Wednesday night/Thursday has disappeared I hope to no one’s surprise and replaced with a lot of jargon about the the storm track and moisture will be all south of us. Funny they couldn’t see the boring 12 hours ago!Boring Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-5318944819807493392019-02-02T09:37:18.703-06:002019-02-02T09:37:18.703-06:00NWS DISCUSSION 2/2 AM:
The pattern reloads with a ...NWS DISCUSSION 2/2 AM:<br />The pattern reloads with a deep trough over the Rockies during the<br />middle of the week. A strong mid level wave will round the base of<br />the trough and eject into the Plains Wednesday night. This has the<br />potential to bring a traditional Panhandle Hooker snowstorm to<br />the Upper Midwest late week.<br /><br />So be honest how many of you are already excited after you read that? or guarded because of the ways it could not materialize?<br />Here’s a little nugget the NWS had “snow likely” for Sunday night/Monday a few days back, now it’s a wintery mix. Tuesday was also a “snow likely” day now it’s a boring 20%. Which leads me to Wednesday night/Thursday which is already at a 60-80% “snow likely” wording. What can possibly go wrong?<br />Boring Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-85221777459726548262019-02-02T09:12:59.194-06:002019-02-02T09:12:59.194-06:00No worries it will still be a 2 day thaw!No worries it will still be a 2 day thaw!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-86775354247818150412019-02-02T08:22:13.686-06:002019-02-02T08:22:13.686-06:00This warmup reeks of bust. The temp was supposed ...This warmup reeks of bust. The temp was supposed to rise to 22 by 5am. it's only 17 at 8am.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-74931405870430161372019-02-01T07:50:38.711-06:002019-02-01T07:50:38.711-06:00@PWL, here are the thoughts in one word.. BORING! ...@PWL, here are the thoughts in one word.. BORING! And you thought the metro turned a corner, read on....(Sunday/Monday splits and misses and Tuesday becomes)<br /><br />Another issue with this system is the potential for the two pieces<br />of energy to remain autonomous. The northern vort should produce a<br />large and pretty well organized band of snow that will likely<br />remain across northern MN. The southern vort will track with the<br />system to the south and produce an area of precip along the low<br />track beginning late Sunday night. Most of the CWA is stuck in<br />between these two vorts and in a void of forcing. Eventually this<br />area does fill in with precip as the energy consolidates, but it<br />may be too late and occur east of us. This will need to be<br />watched and PoPs may need to be reduced if this trend continues.<br /><br />Much colder air follows again for next week. The system for<br />Tuesday and Tuesday night appears weaker and less organized so<br />PoPs were reduced a bit from the previous forecast.<br /><br />LOCATION LOCATION LOCATION Boring Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-62014139832200513892019-01-31T15:17:41.944-06:002019-01-31T15:17:41.944-06:00Some freezing rain/snow late this weekend and then...Some freezing rain/snow late this weekend and then some snow Tuesday/Wednesday and maybe back to the freezer after that storm? What are the thoughts on all of this? Bring the thoughts!!!!Plymouth Weather Lovernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-31593768771292773192019-01-30T19:36:24.679-06:002019-01-30T19:36:24.679-06:0045 down here in Roch on Sunday! NO WAY! (yes ple...45 down here in Roch on Sunday! NO WAY! (yes please)DysonGuyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12351540636292459647noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-28353262250971923052019-01-30T18:47:38.547-06:002019-01-30T18:47:38.547-06:00Anonymous at 3:07 :+) Right ON! Anonymous at 3:07 :+) Right ON! WeatherGeekhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14741160280149154934noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3483614767822693875.post-24815268387500390392019-01-30T15:07:51.637-06:002019-01-30T15:07:51.637-06:00Oh relax!Oh relax!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com