OK. Here we go. The 2025-26 snow season is upon us!! And a new thread to start the new season. Let's go!!! Bring it!!!
We all had a great chances to finish up our outside work with another opportunity this weekend. Now, we can talk about cold air overriding warm are and possible fresh snowpack in place!! This could be the start of something beautiful!!
Thanks for the new thread and continuance of the blog, Bill. Novak just posted on FB that things are looking good for winter to finally make an entrance. 'Bout TIME! It might be too warm south metro for much beyond rain Tuesday/Wednesday, but time will tell. Thanksgiving weekend computer runs also sometimes make me hopeful for accumulating snow. Let's go/bring it, indeed, PWL. Yes!!!
Welcome to the new season, everyone! Here’s hoping it’s a nice cold snowy old-fashioned Minnesota winter! It appears the system coming in for Tuesday and Wednesday it’s going to be too far north for the TC metro? Hopefully it shifts a little farther south so we can get in on some snowy fun too! However, I understand with travel for Thanksgiving that is not the best scenario. Have a happy and safe Thanksgiving! Keep praying for a snowy winter…Let it snow! Let it snow! Let it snow!
Hoping all our regular blog snow loving friends show up...quiet in here when local NWS is posting stuff like this for our first snow of this season: Overall, the trend of the swath of heaviest snow continues to shift south with the numerical models due to a more aggressively digging trough and deeper upper low. Ensemble means are also beginning to show better definition with smaller scale features, signaling the spread is decreasing. AI output has shown only slight signs of further strengthening of the trough, otherwise there has been little change in the last several runs. The AI output has been farther south compared to the numerical output for a while, so it appears the latter is beginning to catch up. With all of that said, NBM is lagging behind the trend a bit so expecting snow totals to again increase today, barring any significant reversal of recent trends.
Also hoping the regulars show up soon. Reading these details is like a foreign language in parts (NBM/AI output as ex). :+) But I appreciate it. And enjoy looking stuff up and learning from it. I hope it's a decent winter, even if it's a short one. Shifting south swaths means more snow for the metro? Snow beats freezing rain/sleet any day. Thanks again, Big Snow Fan.
Novak put out a map on FB about three hours ago and the big snows are well north of the metro; Alexandria/Hayward/Duluth/Brainerd areas are in the 4-6/6-10" circles for this first storm. I'm still hoping for something big in the metro this next weekend/early next week.
Let's gooooooo!!! The models have shifted things south. Even though it is just one run, it is consistent on almost every latest model run. While this was talked about my meteorologists for a little bit, Novak was way ahead of it. He even stated in his video - a few days ago - that he thought the models were 100 miles too far north. We will see, but it looks like he may have nailed it.
This is great!! Let's get a nice snowcover to keep the cooler air in place and make the conditions for prime snow making over the full course of the winter.
C'mon, everyone. Let's keep the comments and the predictions/thoughts coming.
Welcome back everyone! What a time to be alive, White Thanksgiving right on que, NWS has bumped us up to a Warning for all metro with more snow(6+) and a lot more wind, even mentioning blizzard conditions with the flash freeze to occur tomorrow evening it would seem our first winter storm of the season is coming in with a bang. Here’s to hoping this is the start of a busy winter season with continuous snowpack throughout. Stay safe everyone!
Great to see the gang all getting back together for what we hope is a real rocking Minnesota winter! Woke up this morning with the NWS predicting 4 to 6 inches for Plymouth. Later this morning that was increased to 4 to 8 inches. A few minutes ago it was increased to 5 to 9 inches. Expecting winds gusting 40 to 45 mph and blizzard conditions tonight! Be safe out there everyone! Great to see you here! Let it Snow!
Thanks for the updates. Imagine if this whole day had been snow. I wonder how much will melt at the start because it's been so warm ground-wise. Can't wait to see what we get. Bring it.
Yay! So excited for tonight's snow. Hopefully it's the start of a snowy season! Also, I love seeing all the regulars here. It's truly part of my winter rhythm.
Let’s go! I’m actually surprised to see the predictions go up as I haven’t seen the models increase the totals. In fact, I saw the most recent runs with slight wobble/settling in a little hack to the north.
I hope I am wrong. I predict 4 inches in metro. I do want to be wrong. Bring us the higher end!!!!
Hi everybody! Welcome back for another fun filled winter blogging season! I was watching KARE 11 and Belle said we’re going to get dry slotted in the Twin Cities and the metro should expect two, possibly 3, inches of snow. That sounds like a real downward departure from all the predictions I’ve been hearing all day, including from the national weather service.
Aww. Phooey! However, when I saw a 'slot' on one of Mr. Novak's maps on FB, I thought, 'Oh, no..... if that slot comes over the metro,' so part of me isn't surprised at what you are reporting, Joe. Bummer if that happens, but it happens. Thanks for the info.
For any of you on FB, Novak is going live at around 8 p.m. to discuss this storm. Maybe I'll watch....... but I'd rather not be disappointed, ha. I don't want to hear about dry slots.
This is such an awesome BLOG. I love all of your enthusiasm.
Yes, several days ago the upper-level dynamics looked more than favorable for a big snow system today & tomorrow AM over MN/WI. That is why I hammered it pretty hard back on the 20th. Quite frankly, I'm not surprised that pretty much all of the talking heads ignored the dynamics. There problem may be that they look at model guidance QPF & go with that. When forecasting, that is the last thing you should do when looking 3+ days out.
When all is said & done, by this coming Monday, we will be talking about one of the snowiest Thanksgiving Holidays in recent memory. Another big one is on the way for southern MN on Saturday.
I hope you all can join me around 8pm this evening on FB.
Everything but pavement is white in the north metro. Haven’t gotten the heavy snow rates so far tonight. I’ve been having fun following model and forecasts for the Lake Superior snow bands. Potential for 3ft in western UP. 2ft for Houghton MI.
Not an impressive snowfall for the metro, but it is a nice primer for the next storm. The snow from this storm initially melted due to the warm ground. Also, the storm was just a bit too far north for the TC to get heavy amounts. For this weekend’s storm, the ground is cold and primed so melting of newly falling snow should not be an issue. However, this weekend’s storm is looking to be a little too far south for the TC to get heavy amounts. Location, location. Hoping the track shifts a little farther north!
Nasty trend to start the season, Storm to the north then a storm to the south! Not good for the TC snow lovers on here. Also not a good look for the NWS to start our snow season, they had the forecast nailed initially when they put out an advisory for 1-3” but then they went model surfing and jumped the gun with a wholesale change to a winter storm warning with 4-8”, in the end MSP got a measly 3”, they should have stuck with the advisory!
Sadly, I concur. The gutting of the NWS personnel has changed forecasting, in my humble opinion. I've been watching it closely all year. The advisory would have sufficed for the metro. Those winds sure were something else, though. Let's see what we get Friday/Saturday. Have a safe holiday weekend, everyone.
The huge positive for snow in southern MN including the Twin Cities is that we will be located in a nice deep dendrite growth zone. This means we should be able to efficiently squeeze-out nearly all of the available moisture.
Happy Thanksgiving, everyone, including you, Mr. Novak! Thanks for stopping by this morning to give us a little insight into Saturday’s snow. I was starting to get a little bummed with the storm trending farther south. Hopefully we can squeeze out a few nice fluffy inches here in the metro to fill in any bare spots!
Happy White Thanksgiving my fellow snow lovers, hope you enjoy the day with feast/family/football/forecasts(the 4 most important F’s of the day)!! Looks like the NWS first swipe on Saturdays storm is an advisory for 2-5”. As a snow lover any snow is good snow, I’ll take it. Would I like to be in the bullseye, of course, I always want the most snow but if we can retain snowpack and build on it with each passing storm that’s good too but that definitely hasn’t been the case the last two years.
Oh how I wish I lived where the winter storm warnings are posted south/southeast of MN metro. Snow lovers there are going to be out of their minds dancing in the snow. Maybe one of these days........
The TC were too far south the other day and too far north for tomorrow. Let’s cross our fingers we are in the bullseye for the next storm! Let it Snow!!
NWS now saying only about an inch should fall in the northern metro inside the beltway, around Maple Grove. I guess dry air is going to erode the northern edge of the snow.
You all are sounding like me, the biggest pessimist of all. Let's see what happens. I always hope I'm wrong when I'm being pessimistic. Let it SNOW! :+)
The bottom line is that we are in a GREAT weather pattern for snow and the pendulum switched at just the right time. We have a snow cover, cold air in place, and storms moving right along that jet.
I don't recall the NWS cutting snow totals down to 1" in the north metro. If they did, that is surprising & irresponsible especially when considering the set-up & dynamics. The DGZ is deep & rich with moisture. That alone should make the NWS stay put with their earlier predictions of 3"-6" across the metro. I wouldn't be surprised if this storm over-performed given the set-up. It is a fantastic over-running scenario.
Thanks for the update, Mr. Novak! I follow you on FB (and try to get all my friends to do it, too) and know some of the folks here are not on that site. I actually first discovered you here on this blog long ago ... you were spot on with winter forecasts and you weren't 'one of the guys I always see on t.v.' Thanks for all the work you do to keep us informed and educated about the weather.
Thanks for stopping by, Mr. Novak. I, like most everyone on this site, listen to your forecasts above all others. I just read the NWS narrative. They are now calling for the proverbial 1-3 inches in the north metro beltway (e.g. Plymouth, Maple Grove, etc.).This morning they were calling for 3-5 inches and this afternoon they lowered it to 2-4 inches before lowering it to 1-3 inches. They are also saying a dusting at best between tonight and tomorrow morning in those areas, and no accumulation, if any, until tomorrow afternoon. They also talked about having to overcome dry air in southwest MN earlier. I don’t know if that is an issue for the metro too? All in all I did not find the NWS narrative to be bullish at all on much, if any, accumulating snow up here.
4AM and it’s snowing harder then its snowed all day yesterday, it’s definitely lasting longer then most anyone thought and this band is easily going to drop another inch moving thru.
Just shoveled. Really nice! Not sure of official totals yet but in Plymouth, we must have gotten 5-6 inches. Upper end, baby!! Love it!! Great start to winter and it isn’t even December yet!!
Yes, looking at the cocorahs data.... Mr. Novak once again did an excellent job forecasting, and the snow is decent! NWS Chan had 6.5 a bit after 1 a.m. and MSP had 3.9 which hopefully went up a bit with the late 'morning' burst over parts of the metro. Now it looks like winter out there.
Novak hits another home run! While the NWS was decreasing amounts up here (3-5 to 2-4 to to 1-3) in Plymouth/Maple Grove (see my previous post) Novak was holding firm with 3-6 inches, and mentioned the system could overperform even up here on the northern fringe. I measured several locations this morning at my house and consistently came up with 5-6 inches!
Winter came late??? Winter doesn’t technically start till December 21st or meteorological winter started Dec 1st, in either case if anything winter came early. 7.8” for November isn’t bad considering the last two years!
Hey fellow snowlovers, let’s have a little friendly snow prediction contest, since I’m hearing for days now about a “clipper train parade of storms” for us for the next 7-10 day period. Looking at the models there’s a solid chance of 4 separate clipper type systems impacting us. Now we should all know by now that clippers can be very fickle or change course or amplify at the moments notice or it’s band of snow is only 40-50 miles wide, anyhow the fun with the first one starts later today. 10 day snowfall ending next Sunday 12/14: 12.7”
Wow, 12.7" would be awesome! I have to study this and then will provide my prediction. Also, I asked Bill to start a new thread for our incoming clipper train to discuss
Unfortunately, I am not as bullish on the clipper train. So far they have underperformed or mostly missed us in the metro. Yesterday’s 1-2 inch prediction resulted in half an inch. Monday’s clipper is supposed to miss the metro, except for flurries. Tuesday’s system is forecasted to be closer, but a mix (of course). See today’s clipper miss as yet another example. My prediction from the clipper train is half an inch to an inch here and there for a total of 3 inches. Hope I’m wrong. I like the consistent cold air. The metro was snow starved the past two winters. Just hope we don’t get snow starved again this season for a different reason, despite the cold air. I know it’s still very early…..
OK. Here we go. The 2025-26 snow season is upon us!! And a new thread to start the new season. Let's go!!! Bring it!!!
ReplyDeleteWe all had a great chances to finish up our outside work with another opportunity this weekend. Now, we can talk about cold air overriding warm are and possible fresh snowpack in place!! This could be the start of something beautiful!!
Bring it!!!!!!!
Thanks for the new thread and continuance of the blog, Bill. Novak just posted on FB that things are looking good for winter to finally make an entrance. 'Bout TIME! It might be too warm south metro for much beyond rain Tuesday/Wednesday, but time will tell. Thanksgiving weekend computer runs also sometimes make me hopeful for accumulating snow. Let's go/bring it, indeed, PWL. Yes!!!
ReplyDeleteWelcome to the new season, everyone! Here’s hoping it’s a nice cold snowy old-fashioned Minnesota winter! It appears the system coming in for Tuesday and Wednesday it’s going to be too far north for the TC metro? Hopefully it shifts a little farther south so we can get in on some snowy fun too! However, I understand with travel for Thanksgiving that is not the best scenario. Have a happy and safe Thanksgiving! Keep praying for a snowy winter…Let it snow! Let it snow! Let it snow!
ReplyDeleteWelcome, winter 2025-26! Let’s hope this season can bring more action than the paltry last two 29” snow fall winters?
ReplyDeleteHoping all our regular blog snow loving friends show up...quiet in here when local NWS is posting stuff like this for our first snow of this season:
ReplyDeleteOverall, the trend of the swath of heaviest snow continues to
shift south with the numerical models due to a more aggressively
digging trough and deeper upper low. Ensemble means are also
beginning to show better definition with smaller scale features,
signaling the spread is decreasing. AI output has shown only
slight signs of further strengthening of the trough, otherwise
there has been little change in the last several runs. The AI
output has been farther south compared to the numerical output
for a while, so it appears the latter is beginning to catch up.
With all of that said, NBM is lagging behind the trend a bit so
expecting snow totals to again increase today, barring any
significant reversal of recent trends.
Also hoping the regulars show up soon. Reading these details is like a foreign language in parts (NBM/AI output as ex). :+) But I appreciate it. And enjoy looking stuff up and learning from it. I hope it's a decent winter, even if it's a short one. Shifting south swaths means more snow for the metro? Snow beats freezing rain/sleet any day. Thanks again, Big Snow Fan.
DeleteNovak put out a map on FB about three hours ago and the big snows are well north of the metro; Alexandria/Hayward/Duluth/Brainerd areas are in the 4-6/6-10" circles for this first storm. I'm still hoping for something big in the metro this next weekend/early next week.
ReplyDeleteLet's gooooooo!!! The models have shifted things south. Even though it is just one run, it is consistent on almost every latest model run. While this was talked about my meteorologists for a little bit, Novak was way ahead of it. He even stated in his video - a few days ago - that he thought the models were 100 miles too far north. We will see, but it looks like he may have nailed it.
ReplyDeleteThis is great!! Let's get a nice snowcover to keep the cooler air in place and make the conditions for prime snow making over the full course of the winter.
C'mon, everyone. Let's keep the comments and the predictions/thoughts coming.
Bring it!!!!!
Welcome back everyone! What a time to be alive, White Thanksgiving right on que, NWS has bumped us up to a Warning for all metro with more snow(6+) and a lot more wind, even mentioning blizzard conditions with the flash freeze to occur tomorrow evening it would seem our first winter storm of the season is coming in with a bang. Here’s to hoping this is the start of a busy winter season with continuous snowpack throughout. Stay safe everyone!
ReplyDeleteBRING THE SNOW!!!
Holy Moley! Woke up to this excitement. Here we go. Can't wait.
ReplyDeleteGreat to see the gang all getting back together for what we hope is a real rocking Minnesota winter! Woke up this morning with the NWS predicting 4 to 6 inches for Plymouth. Later this morning that was increased to 4 to 8 inches. A few minutes ago it was increased to 5 to 9 inches. Expecting winds gusting 40 to 45 mph and blizzard conditions tonight! Be safe out there everyone! Great to see you here! Let it Snow!
ReplyDeleteThanks for the updates. Imagine if this whole day had been snow. I wonder how much will melt at the start because it's been so warm ground-wise. Can't wait to see what we get. Bring it.
DeleteYay! So excited for tonight's snow. Hopefully it's the start of a snowy season! Also, I love seeing all the regulars here. It's truly part of my winter rhythm.
ReplyDeleteLet’s go! I’m actually surprised to see the predictions go up as I haven’t seen the models increase the totals. In fact, I saw the most recent runs with slight wobble/settling in a little hack to the north.
ReplyDeleteI hope I am wrong. I predict 4 inches in metro. I do want to be wrong. Bring us the higher end!!!!
Bring it!!!!!
Hi everybody! Welcome back for another fun filled winter blogging season! I was watching KARE 11 and Belle said we’re going to get dry slotted in the Twin Cities and the metro should expect two, possibly 3, inches of snow. That sounds like a real downward departure from all the predictions I’ve been hearing all day, including from the national weather service.
ReplyDeleteAww. Phooey! However, when I saw a 'slot' on one of Mr. Novak's maps on FB, I thought, 'Oh, no..... if that slot comes over the metro,' so part of me isn't surprised at what you are reporting, Joe. Bummer if that happens, but it happens. Thanks for the info.
DeleteThe radar loop doesn’t look great. The west-most band is drying up. Did we just go from “getting better by the hour” to -nothing-?
DeleteFor any of you on FB, Novak is going live at around 8 p.m. to discuss this storm. Maybe I'll watch....... but I'd rather not be disappointed, ha. I don't want to hear about dry slots.
ReplyDeleteThis is such an awesome BLOG. I love all of your enthusiasm.
ReplyDeleteYes, several days ago the upper-level dynamics looked more than favorable for a big snow system today & tomorrow AM over MN/WI. That is why I hammered it pretty hard back on the 20th. Quite frankly, I'm not surprised that pretty much all of the talking heads ignored the dynamics. There problem may be that they look at model guidance QPF & go with that. When forecasting, that is the last thing you should do when looking 3+ days out.
When all is said & done, by this coming Monday, we will be talking about one of the snowiest Thanksgiving Holidays in recent memory. Another big one is on the way for southern MN on Saturday.
I hope you all can join me around 8pm this evening on FB.
Take care.
- Tom
Aw, thanks for the visit, Novak Weather. Guess I'll hop over there soon and listen in.
DeleteAs always, thanks Tom!
ReplyDeleteThanks, Novak. You da man!! Question: Do you see the weekend’s storm have the twin cities on the edge or in the main portion of things?
ReplyDeleteCome on now PWL, MSP is always on the edge of a tight gradient. It’s been awhile since MSP was forecasted for a slam dunk!
Deletewell, as usual, a sharp snow gradient will be in or near the metro.
DeleteEverything but pavement is white in the north metro. Haven’t gotten the heavy snow rates so far tonight. I’ve been having fun following model and forecasts for the Lake Superior snow bands. Potential for 3ft in western UP. 2ft for Houghton MI.
ReplyDeleteNot an impressive snowfall for the metro, but it is a nice primer for the next storm. The snow from this storm initially melted due to the warm ground. Also, the storm was just a bit too far north for the TC to get heavy amounts. For this weekend’s storm, the ground is cold and primed so melting of newly falling snow should not be an issue. However, this weekend’s storm is looking to be a little too far south for the TC to get heavy amounts. Location, location. Hoping the track shifts a little farther north!
ReplyDeleteNovak just posted the weekend storm is trending south. Starting to look like a minimal event, if at all, for the metro?
ReplyDeleteSo the metro was too far south for big snows from last night’s storm, and now too far north for this weekend’s storm?
ReplyDeleteNasty trend to start the season, Storm to the north then a storm to the south! Not good for the TC snow lovers on here. Also not a good look for the NWS to start our snow season, they had the forecast nailed initially when they put out an advisory for 1-3” but then they went model surfing and jumped the gun with a wholesale change to a winter storm warning with 4-8”, in the end MSP got a measly 3”, they should have stuck with the advisory!
DeleteSadly, I concur. The gutting of the NWS personnel has changed forecasting, in my humble opinion. I've been watching it closely all year. The advisory would have sufficed for the metro. Those winds sure were something else, though. Let's see what we get Friday/Saturday. Have a safe holiday weekend, everyone.
DeleteHappy Thanksgiving, My Weather Peeps!
ReplyDeleteHappy Thanksgiving to all of you!
ReplyDeleteThe huge positive for snow in southern MN including the Twin Cities is that we will be located in a nice deep dendrite growth zone. This means we should be able to efficiently squeeze-out nearly all of the available moisture.
That’s what l’m talkin’ about, Novak!!!
ReplyDeleteBring it!!
Happy Thanksgiving, everyone, including you, Mr. Novak! Thanks for stopping by this morning to give us a little insight into Saturday’s snow. I was starting to get a little bummed with the storm trending farther south. Hopefully we can squeeze out a few nice fluffy inches here in the metro to fill in any bare spots!
ReplyDeleteHappy White Thanksgiving my fellow snow lovers, hope you enjoy the day with feast/family/football/forecasts(the 4 most important F’s of the day)!! Looks like the NWS first swipe on Saturdays storm is an advisory for 2-5”. As a snow lover any snow is good snow, I’ll take it. Would I like to be in the bullseye, of course, I always want the most snow but if we can retain snowpack and build on it with each passing storm that’s good too but that definitely hasn’t been the case the last two years.
ReplyDeleteNovak Weather
ReplyDeleteDeep dendrite growth zone is still there on guidance. Don't lose hope snow lovers.
ReplyDeleteOh how I wish I lived where the winter storm warnings are posted south/southeast of MN metro. Snow lovers there are going to be out of their minds dancing in the snow. Maybe one of these days........
ReplyDeleteThe TC were too far south the other day and too far north for tomorrow. Let’s cross our fingers we are in the bullseye for the next storm! Let it Snow!!
ReplyDeleteNWS now saying only about an inch should fall in the northern metro inside the beltway, around Maple Grove. I guess dry air is going to erode the northern edge of the snow.
ReplyDeleteBummer, I was encouraged when Novak said the DGZ was looking favorable for the metro.
ReplyDeleteYou all are sounding like me, the biggest pessimist of all. Let's see what happens. I always hope I'm wrong when I'm being pessimistic. Let it SNOW! :+)
ReplyDeleteThe bottom line is that we are in a GREAT weather pattern for snow and the pendulum switched at just the right time. We have a snow cover, cold air in place, and storms moving right along that jet.
ReplyDeleteDoing the JET dance!! Bring it!!
I don't recall the NWS cutting snow totals down to 1" in the north metro. If they did, that is surprising & irresponsible especially when considering the set-up & dynamics. The DGZ is deep & rich with moisture. That alone should make the NWS stay put with their earlier predictions of 3"-6" across the metro. I wouldn't be surprised if this storm over-performed given the set-up. It is a fantastic over-running scenario.
ReplyDeleteThanks for the update, Mr. Novak! I follow you on FB (and try to get all my friends to do it, too) and know some of the folks here are not on that site. I actually first discovered you here on this blog long ago ... you were spot on with winter forecasts and you weren't 'one of the guys I always see on t.v.' Thanks for all the work you do to keep us informed and educated about the weather.
DeleteThanks for stopping by, Mr. Novak. I, like most everyone on this site, listen to your forecasts above all others. I just read the NWS narrative. They are now calling for the proverbial 1-3 inches in the north metro beltway (e.g. Plymouth, Maple Grove, etc.).This morning they were calling for 3-5 inches and this afternoon they lowered it to 2-4 inches before lowering it to 1-3 inches. They are also saying a dusting at best between tonight and tomorrow morning in those areas, and no accumulation, if any, until tomorrow afternoon. They also talked about having to overcome dry air in southwest MN earlier. I don’t know if that is an issue for the metro too? All in all I did not find the NWS narrative to be bullish at all on much, if any, accumulating snow up here.
ReplyDeleteAll I have to say is I am listening to Novak!
ReplyDeleteIt is disappointing to wake up to 'nothing' here in my suburb right near the Mpls border. C'mon, snow!!!!
ReplyDeleteAs I respond to myself: PATIENCE! It is a beautiful snow globe out there right now. So pretty.
Delete4AM and it’s snowing harder then its snowed all day yesterday, it’s definitely lasting longer then most anyone thought and this band is easily going to drop another inch moving thru.
ReplyDeleteAgreed. Took a while to get started but in the end the storm appeared quite generous.
DeleteJust shoveled. Really nice! Not sure of official totals yet but in Plymouth, we must have gotten 5-6 inches. Upper end, baby!! Love it!! Great start to winter and it isn’t even December yet!!
ReplyDeleteBring it!!!
Yes, looking at the cocorahs data.... Mr. Novak once again did an excellent job forecasting, and the snow is decent! NWS Chan had 6.5 a bit after 1 a.m. and MSP had 3.9 which hopefully went up a bit with the late 'morning' burst over parts of the metro. Now it looks like winter out there.
ReplyDeleteNovak hits another home run! While the NWS was decreasing amounts up here (3-5 to 2-4 to to 1-3) in Plymouth/Maple Grove (see my previous post) Novak was holding firm with 3-6 inches, and mentioned the system could overperform even up here on the northern fringe. I measured several locations this morning at my house and consistently came up with 5-6 inches!
ReplyDeleteJoe, that’s why I follow Novak!
ReplyDeleteDitto! And it looks like we might get some more chances for decent snow in the next two weeks. Here's hoping. Winter came late, but winter is HERE.
DeleteWinter came late??? Winter doesn’t technically start till December 21st or meteorological winter started Dec 1st, in either case if anything winter came early. 7.8” for November isn’t bad considering the last two years!
DeleteHey fellow snowlovers, let’s have a little friendly snow prediction contest, since I’m hearing for days now about a “clipper train parade of storms” for us for the next 7-10 day period. Looking at the models there’s a solid chance of 4 separate clipper type systems impacting us. Now we should all know by now that clippers can be very fickle or change course or amplify at the moments notice or it’s band of snow is only 40-50 miles wide, anyhow the fun with the first one starts later today.
ReplyDelete10 day snowfall ending next Sunday 12/14: 12.7”
Wow, 12.7" would be awesome! I have to study this and then will provide my prediction. Also, I asked Bill to start a new thread for our incoming clipper train to discuss
ReplyDeleteNew thread is up! Thank you, Bill!
ReplyDeleteUnfortunately, I am not as bullish on the clipper train. So far they have underperformed or mostly missed us in the metro. Yesterday’s 1-2 inch prediction resulted in half an inch. Monday’s clipper is supposed to miss the metro, except for flurries. Tuesday’s system is forecasted to be closer, but a mix (of course). See today’s clipper miss as yet another example. My prediction from the clipper train is half an inch to an inch here and there for a total of 3 inches. Hope I’m wrong. I like the consistent cold air. The metro was snow starved the past two winters. Just hope we don’t get snow starved again this season for a different reason, despite the cold air. I know it’s still very early…..
ReplyDelete