Please keep your eyes and ears open for the 2012 winter forecasts. We'll be collecting them and presenting them in a future blog entry.
To date, here's what we've heard of for winter forecasts:
Dave Dahl's forecast (61 inches of snow)
Live Weather Blogs (44.3 inches of snow, near average temperatures)
Paul Douglas forecast on Oct. 23:
I've mentioned it a few times on the weather blog. I suspect our dry bias will hang on into at least the first half of winter, thru December. A weak El Nino may steer the most significant storms well south and east of Minnesota, but my gut (a "wish-cast"?) is that we'll see more plentiful snows after the first of the year. I refuse to believe that we could see two 20" winters, back to back. The odds of this happening are slim. If I had to throw out an inch figure (dangerous) it would be in the 40-45" range, so more than last winter, but still almost half the snow that fell during 2010-2011, when a strongly negative NAO (North American Oscillation) blocking pattern kept a fresh supply of sloppy, southern storms pushing north across the Plains. My gut is telling me this winter will be closer to last winter than the 86" winter of 2011-2011, but I still suspect we'll see more snow (and more cold) than last winter. Stay tuned...
Here are last year's less-than-spot-on winter forecasts.