Thursday, December 29, 2022

A storm to kick off 2023 - but will it be rain or snow?

NWS says with 99% confidence that a storm will bring significant moisture early next week. However, there will be the classic “rain/snow” line that could spell wildly different results depending on where that axis lands. 

Will everyone north of Iowa see snow? Or will the metro receive liquid precipitation? 

Time to prognosticate!

Friday, December 23, 2022

More Snow Before Warmth?

Before the bitter siege ends, there may be one more shot at measurable snow on Christmas night before the weather pattern warms and perhaps yields ... wait for it ... liquid.

Sunday, December 18, 2022

A snowy lead up to Christmas?

After another storm that beat at least my own expectations, and ensuing cold, the metro looks to be on track for a white Christmas. 

Now the question is - is more in store in the next week?

From the 12/18 AM NWS forecast discussion summarizing the current state of mid-week models:

Suffice it to say that great uncertainty remains 
on the precipitation potential from midweek on.
Full Discussion from NWS 
What are your thoughts? 
[Programming note - I will be traveling from 12/20 to 12/31. Bill has kindly agreed to keep an eye on the site and post a new thread if needed.]

Wednesday, December 7, 2022

Snow chances Thursday into Friday, and early next week

NWS has the southern metro and much of southern Minnesota in the area for accumulating snow Thursday night into Friday.

Looking ahead, the long range forecast discussion talks of a system from Monday to Wednesday with a lot of uncertainty.

From NWS:

at this point it looks like mainly snow to start later on Monday, with a transition to mixed precipitation during the day on Tuesday from south to north. Tuesday night as the column cools it looks like the forecast area will transition back to snow and remain mainly snow on Wednesday. How much snow could we potentially get? That will depend on the track of the cyclone.

Wednesday, November 30, 2022

Snow train to roll again?

After Tuesday's snow that made the Twin Cities the bullseye, it seems that more snow may be in the offing in a few days. Your thoughts?

Monday, November 28, 2022

Tuesday Snow?

The smoke signals are a little hard to read, but it appears that snow, potentially significant, is on the way for Tuesday.

Sunday, November 13, 2022

First Real Snow of the Season?

 What's more exiting: the Vikings win in Buffalo or this week's expected snow? There's probably more anticipation over the snow. What are your thoughts on what this suddenly cold/maybe snowy week will bring?

Monday, March 28, 2022

Mid-week Storm

 I was on vacation and haven’t been monitoring the weather but I received a couple of notes requesting a new thread. 

 Some of us are hoping you will start a new thread in anticipation of a blast of snow that somebody may get around here....”

So have at it!

Sunday, February 27, 2022

Potential Storm Friday into Saturday

I have not had the chance to read up much on this, but the NWS says we could see a decent storm with some type of wintry precipitation. 

They provide this warning in the forecast discussion:

“Model consistency has improved markedly since yesterday, with the deterministic runs all exhibiting similar solutions. Being 5-6 days out, details are still very likely going to change leading up to it”

Will March deliver?

Thursday, February 17, 2022

Some weather this weekend into next week

 From the National Weather Service - let’s see what happens the next few days!

Brief, but heavy, snow showers are possible Friday along with gusty winds. Confidence is increasing in accumulating snow early next week.

Friday, January 21, 2022

Multiple Rounds of Snow

Sorry for getting this up late, I am still trying to get the hang of when to begin a new thread. 

I will probably start up a new “in between” thread after a storm concludes just so there is a new place to start looking ahead.

That said, we have a few chances for snow in the coming days, and the level of snow I am currently seeing in St Paul made me think I should have started a thread a couple days back!

Monday, January 10, 2022

Plowable snow Friday?

 From Paul Huttner at MPR’s Updraft Blog:

The American, Canadian and European models all suggest a potentially plowable snow event across much of Minnesota on Friday. It’s still too early to be precise about storm track and snowfall totals.”

Let’s see how this pans out!

Tuesday, January 4, 2022

New year, new thread

Happy 2022!

I was trying to wait for a larger event on the horizon but it seems like we have mostly quiet days with a few chances for accumulation. 

I did get an email requesting a new thread however so I am happily obliging so we can move out of our last thread of 2021. (Thanks to poster Big Snow Fan for that email!)

Unfortunately we may have a bit of a wait before our next chance for a big one, but a few inches here and there add up!