I was trying to wait for a larger event on the horizon but it seems like we have mostly quiet days with a few chances for accumulation.
I did get an email requesting a new thread however so I am happily obliging so we can move out of our last thread of 2021. (Thanks to poster Big Snow Fan for that email!)
Unfortunately we may have a bit of a wait before our next chance for a big one, but a few inches here and there add up!
My NWS point forecast went from 1-3 to 3-6 inches…..Novak just bumped the Metro up from 2-4 to 4-6 inches….and the WWA just updated its language to “up to 5 inches” from it’s initial call this morning which was 1-3”.ReplyDelete
Trending 👏 in 👏 the 👏 right 👏 direction 👏 👏!!!!!
Yes!! I was hoping to wake up and see a bunch of snow in St Louis Park and it's way less than predicted. I wonder why this happened. Bummer.Delete
Hoping for an overachieving storm. It appears to be trending in that direction since this afternoon!ReplyDelete
So where did any appreciable snow fall?ReplyDelete
I had 3-4 inches to shovel today. More where the wind piled it up. South Minneapolis.Delete
I will suggest next time adding in your own location and how much snow you saw to better add to the conversation.
NE Metro: shovelable snow and light snow still coming down since sunrise. Likely to pull out single stage snowthrower actually.ReplyDelete
Just shoveled a path for some deliveries today. Still decent light, accumulating snow falling and if that continues as expected, 4-6” from Novak will be right for me. Snow reports from 2-4” early this morning were posted across the north metro on NWS. Wind has filled in my driveway with a lot more than that.ReplyDelete
Same boat here….a consistent couple inches, but definitely closer to 6” where the wind could move it. Thankfully it’s not heart attack heavy and the leaf blower can handle the sidewalks and deck!Delete
I can feel the vibe of disappointment from snow lovers out there with these little shots of snow. I would love a big storm too, but I am so thankful not to be looking at a brown yard right now.
I like to put in the CoCoRaHS network observers and their snow tallies; people can put in their counties and see 'what's up' for snow totals. It seemed slim pickings around a lot of the metro. There's only one observer who sometimes reports in my area, and I'm in an apartment so there is nowhere for me to put out measuring equipment, unfortunately. For me, this little storm seemed to be an underachiever in St Louis Park. I'm happy for all of you with the higher snow totals.ReplyDelete
We picked up about 4.5" here in Maple Grove/Plymouth.ReplyDelete
Again, these "little" snows are awesome and this is what gives us the uniqueness of having "continuous snow cover" as compared to other states. While the East Coast may get hammered by 6-12 inches every once in a while, it is gone in a short period of time and they don't get these smaller snow events that give us the snow globe we live it.ReplyDelete
Love it. And bring it!!
Friday is definitely looking interesting! All models showing a very strong clipper in our neck of the woods with 6”+ totals. Time will tell!ReplyDelete
Though the NWS doesn’t seem so keen anything worthwhile will happen:Delete
The most interesting thing to talk about model wise is a stark
contrast from 24 hours ago with a potential weather system moving
into the region on Friday lingering into Saturday. Right now,
deterministic GFS/Canadian solutions push down a classic Alberta
Clipper setup with a positively tilting shortwave trough and
weakening surface low pressure. Surprisingly, these solutions also
bring intensifying snowfall despite the positive trough tilt and
weakening surface low indicating a system that should be weakening.
Based on how these types of clipper systems like to behave, I would
expect model solutions to gradually decrease the overall snow
forecast to reflect the weakening forcing. Being about 4 to 5 days
out, I would also expect the trajectory of the system to shift which
will have an impact on both temperatures and overall snowfall
12Z Global model update for this afternoon for Friday….they all still show a fairly moderate to strong clipper system. Qpf has gone down some on the GFS/Canadian to 4-5” range but the EURO went stronger with 8”+ amounts close to home. I believe we’re at a point now that we will receive “some” snow, question is how much? Also remember clipper systems are very fickle in track….they usually lay down a swath of snow 75-125 miles wide so track will be important as their precipitation shield often isn’t too big. Stay tuned as the pattern looks to me that we get several clippers after this one(but I have been let down before thinking that).Delete
Right on cue…..NWS has gone with “snow likely” wording for Friday for a “plowable” snow event. Like I said earlier we will get “some” snow, let’s see how much! Might also be a little appetizer Thursday morning, time will tell!Delete
Right on. And Mr Novak has already posted an image referencing Friday/Saturday and has a large portion of MN/Dakotas/WI/Iowa in the 'anticipate problems' area, including the metro. Can't wait to see what happens.Delete