As one commenter aptly put it, the chase to land a new snowfall record at MSP is akin to a football team trailing by 10 late in the fourth quarter (and there are no XFL rules). The team would appear to need a touchdown vs. a few field goals. Might a late-week storm put the record more within reach — or possibly take the prize? We shall see....
The Minnesota Forecaster
Who's crystal clear and who's all wet when it to comes to Minnesota weather forecasters?
Sunday, March 12, 2023
Monday, March 6, 2023
Snow Record Chase Continuing Later This Week?
The bounty of the season may continue — in some abundance — later this week. Track it here.
Saturday, March 4, 2023
Snow to the North
There is a decent system setting up to the north that the NWS gives a 20% chance of impacting the metro.
There are no watches yet anywhere near the metro but it seemed worth a thread.
Thursday, February 23, 2023
The much-anticipated snowstorm is ending. With all the twists and turns, how do you think forecasters did? And what other thoughts do you have about the storm?
It’s a weird feeling to be a former Minnesotan/snow lover closely watching a storm take place in such a familiar place that’s 1,574 miles away (as the southwestern jetstream flies) from where I live in Albuquerque, New Mexico (where the storm created winds gusting to 63 mph, visibility down to one mile in dust and snow squalls that just make for a pretty picture).
Here are some random thoughts and observations:
- Except for actually shoveling snow and constantly dabbing at a runny nose, it’s amazing how much you can experience a snowstorm virtually — thanks to news stories, pictures from friends, traffic cameras, etc.
- As one commenter suggested, it seems to make more sense to see this storm as two separate storms given the amount of time between. If one views it that way, it seems that there was a middling storm (4”) followed by clean-up, followed by a legitimately heavy, but not blockbuster, snow.
- Taken literally, the forecasts seemed generally quite accurate — except for the “heavy at times wording.” From my review of MSP observations, there was never an official report of “heavy snow.” However, I sensed that the net impact didn’t quite measure up to the message that was communicated by the NWS.
- Reports from rural areas notwithstanding, the storm didn’t seem to be as paralyzing as one might expect for the total accumulation (again why it seems more appropriate to see this as two storms) nor truly historical.
- As one who lived through the Halloween blizzard, I was secretly hoping that this didn’t end up as a record setter. (I want to keep the glory.)
- Patience is always a virtue, but especially so when waiting to see if a snowstorm fully flowers.
- Model data should be consumed with a pound of Morton salt.
But all in all, it was a good show!