According to some of TMF's loyal followers and weather enthusiasts, temperatures next week may trend even warmer than most of the forecasts, which generally are going for the low 70s. Let's dedicate this post to tracking the possible warmth that may be heading our way next week.
Here are forecasts obtained as of Thursday night:
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These temp predictions are rather conservative. Ridge builds over the central U.S. & jet migrates into northern MN & Canada bringing warm air north into southern MN. Keep in mind, our average high temp is near 70 by the weekend. To think that temps will be slightly above avg. is conservative.ReplyDelete
We should easily see an 80+ reading by Tue or Wed. along with strong T'Storms.
Hey guys...how is everyone??? I would not only include high temps...but high DP's as well...like I see highs of 70-80 with dP's in the 65 range. Is it just me or do our local mets concentrate on high and low temps? and chances of rain?? Most of us are not Idiot's.....we all know when we have high dp's followed quickly by low DP's something is in the works. So in the high temp graphic I would tell it like it is...for tuesday-wed I would show 75/65, temps over dp's by thurs-fri 70/40 or their abouts...get my drift? instead of some stupid statement that it will be humid...we will feel it lolReplyDelete
we need to hold these guys and girls by the feet over the fire....and make them tell it like it is...not sugar coat itReplyDelete
That Bill is how I would grade our trusted mets...how comfortable does it feel??? LOLReplyDelete
Here's a trivia question for you all,what is the latest date of an 80 degree high in spring at MSP,heres hoping our streak of non-80 contiues(best shot will be Tuesday,Wednesday there will be too many clouds)I'm loving Thursday and into next weekend,some below average temps coming(fishing opener looks like highs struggle to get to 55),as far as I'm concerned heat and humidity can stay away,the further they are the chance of severe weather stays away and everyone feels comfortable,mother natures very own air conditioner coming Thursday and beyond(may have frost issues Fri/Sat. night of next week,lows dipping into the 30's close to the metro,for sure in the suburbs).ReplyDelete
I will probably go with sometime in late May.
Speking of rain, I find myself eyeing a potential severe weather event on monday.
I've been searching on the NWS site for something that will tell me when the latest 80 degree day was, but haven't been able to spot it. I can tell you over the past several years when it was (as of May, 2006)ReplyDelete
May 23 2006: 85 degrees (can't see April's data)
Mar 26 2007: 81 degrees (yes, March)
May 25 2008: 84 degrees
Apr 23 2009: 85 degrees
Apr 01 2010: 81 degrees
*** ** 2011: TBD
The warmest it's been this year so far at MSP was on April 10th, with a temp of 76 degrees. I'll keep searching to see if I can find that latest 80 degree date as MSP on record. This info may only be available in house at the NWS, but I'm not sure.
I came in here just to note that NWS LaCrosse is calling for 81 on Wednesday in Lake City. YMMV.ReplyDelete
Latest 80 degree for MSP on record is June 12th (happened in 1924 and in 1935).
Thanks! Is there a website that has that info, or how did you find that?ReplyDelete
I am a statistician and weather enthusiast and I have been compiling a few datasets over the years with weather records from a variety of different sources, including NWS, accuweather, etc etc, so I just searched my data, but I am sure the info should be available somewhere...
thanks Rigil for that info,never would have thought it was that late in the season for an 80 degree highReplyDelete
Novak is looking really good with the Tuesday forecast he made on Friday. Go Tom!ReplyDelete
Good stuff, Rigil!ReplyDelete
You have to like the set-up for severe wx later this afternoon & evening. The only thing that may be lacking is twist and/or shear up above. Otherwise, CAPE & Lifted Index levels are thru the roof. If we can break the CAP, storms will go up quickly and become strong within minutes.ReplyDelete
RUC showing capes of 7000 over southern Minnesota. Its a high risk day if there is a bit more wind shear.ReplyDelete
Still could be some massive hail don't you think? Lapse rates of 7C in the midlevels. Surprised that SPC only has us in a 15% hail risk.
I think the SPC may be holding back to look at more guidance to see if the cap will break...the afternoon update could show thatReplyDelete
i remember storms last MayReplyDelete
Hope this year in's going to be sunny,
i am going out of town in a couple of weeks
I came in here just to note that NWS LaCrosse is calling for 81 on Wednesday in Lake City.ReplyDelete