Long range models are beginning to hone in on the transition to a more active regime for next week. The 12z European model (ecmwf) was the most bullish in bringing a significant winter storm to the area between Monday night and Wednesday. The forecast was consistent with the Panhandle Hooker composite for 6+ inch snowfalls at kmsp. The 12z GFS trended toward this stormier scenario as well. There is still plenty of room for fluctuation in temporal/spatial details with this system...but the first notable snowfall of the season is not out of the question for early next week.
Who's crystal clear and who's all wet when it to comes to Minnesota weather forecasters?
Monday, November 19, 2012
Winter Weather Finally on the Horizon?
For snow and winter lovers, the wait may be almost over. The National Weather Service included the following in their afternoon statement this Monday, Nov. 19:
Saturday, October 27, 2012
Tracking Sandy From Afar
As Minnesotans suffer through the first real cold jolt of the season, our friends on the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast coasts are under the gun from an already much-publicized tropical-ish storm. It's taken the weather world by storm -- no pun intended. Use this space to discuss your thoughts on this potentially historical weather event.
If you're looking for a great weather site that provides detailed, non-hyped commentary on Sandy, we recommend following the Capital Weather Gang.
If you're looking for a great weather site that provides detailed, non-hyped commentary on Sandy, we recommend following the Capital Weather Gang.
Friday, October 26, 2012
"Frankenstorm" Nickname for Hurricane Sandy Stirs Controversy
The need to name significant, and sometimes insignificant, weather events has reached a new peak. Partially brought on by The Weather Channel's decision to unilaterally name weather events it considers important, the idea of naming storms has stirred great interest -- and now controversy. Many have nicknamed Hurricane Sandy "Frankenstorm." CNN has gone on record as denouncing the use of a name that it feels trivializes a potentially destructive storm.
The Capital Weather Gang reports that the "Frankenstorm" nickname stemmed from use in a National Weather Service-issued statement. And so the plot thickens.
Here are some twitter responses on the subject. Do you agree? Disagree?
The Capital Weather Gang reports that the "Frankenstorm" nickname stemmed from use in a National Weather Service-issued statement. And so the plot thickens.
Here are some twitter responses on the subject. Do you agree? Disagree?
Wednesday, October 17, 2012
The Curse of the Weather Radar: The Night That Weather Paranoia Ran Baseball
Baseball’s Murderer’s Row used to be the first six hitters
of the powerful 1927 New York Yankees. Today, the game’s most feared opponent
may well be the nasty little green and yellow pixels your neighborhood
weatherman points to on the evening news.
What transpired tonight in Detroit was absurd. With a line
of showers closer to Indiana than Detroit at the 8:00 p.m. ET starting game
time, Major League Baseball inexplicably delayed the start of the fourth game
of the ALCS. Finally, at 9:25, with light rain still 30 minutes away, MLB postponed the game.
This is an outrage on so many levels and rivals the idiocy
of the 2002 all-star game that ended in a tie. Had the rain been minutes away
from Comerica Park – truly close to meteorological inevitability – the delay
would have been a bit more understandable. But it was far enough away that: 1)
a good chunk of the game could have been completed, and 2) the precipitation
could have dried up or circled around Detroit.
Unlike the situation in St. Louis, the precipitation heading
to Detroit was merely steady rain, hardly the stormy weather that produced a
Severe Thunderstorm Watch for the St. Louis area. It’s quite possible the
game’s final innings could have been played before conditions worsened to the
point where a legitimate delay may have been warranted. There was also a remote
possibility that the entire game could have completed before the first drops of
rain came down.
Just as it’s been since Abner Doubleday invented the game,
October baseball is fraught with weather issues. It’s likely to be chilly,
windy and rainy. It happens. And it’s been happening for a hundred years.
To its credit, MLB recently changed the rules regarding rain
delays in the playoffs to ensure that no game would ever end without going its
full length. The fact that this rule exists makes the decision to delay and
then cancel a game nearly two hours before the onset of rain even more
unconscionable.
To be sure, there are two interests that baseball is
protecting. One it will admit and one it won’t. It’s possible, maybe even
likely, that starting pitchers may not have been able to resume the game after
a long delay. (We’ll let the babying of baseball pitchers be another topic for
another day.) But, so what. That’s part of the game. Perhaps a weather-savvy
manager might even be bold enough to hold out a starting pitcher in expectation
of inevitable rain.
The second reason is – this just in – MLB wants to keep New
York on the baseball radar for as long as possible. Had the team’s ace, CC
Sabathia, been forced to come out of the game after a delay, it would have hurt
the Yankees already slim chances of winning the series. The postponement
effectively keeps general interest in the Yankees team for one more day.
P.S. A whopping .04" of rain fell during what would have been the third full hour of the game.
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