Friday, August 8, 2014

Summer (and Rain) on the Wane

The rain spigot appears to be turning off as the Twin Cities moves well into August. When will it rain again? Will severe storms threaten again this year? Is...ahem... snow far off?

NWS graphic illustrating the waning of the rain.

Sunset on Lake Minnetonka - August 6

Signs of fall on a tree near Lake Calhoun - August 8

11 comments:

  1. This NW flow we are in is unbelievable; especially when considering it is summer. When was the last time we had to worry about an MCS? How about a CAP? Truly odd.

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    1. Agreed. So boring. zzz . . .

      On the other hand, it can stay like this right on thru to next April.

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  2. Better weather yesterday and today. Nice high dewpoint. Finally feels like summer!!

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  3. No MCS development for months and now we are going to get a string of them over the next 5 days. Feast or famine I guess. I definitely will get interesting later this week & weekend with the potential for a significant severe wx outbreak.

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  4. There you go all you bored weather folks, we had a severe thunderstorm watch followed by a flash flooding and now a heat advisory for heat indices climbing over 100+, all in the same day.

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  5. The heat advisory was unwarranted in my opinion.

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  6. Saturday 08/23 looks interesting over West Central MN according to the 21/12z Euro and the 22/0z runs of the NAM,GFS and the GEM. I would look for the Storm Prediction Center to highlight that area with their Day 2 outlook at a 15% Risk, with the caveat that if trends continue an upgrade could be warranted. Having said that, this pattern has been very difficult to forecast the last few days, any change to the track of the surface low would change this outlook. For those in the Metro, keep abreast of the forecast and where the low tracks, a shift to the east could put the metro at risk, but at this time I would give that a 25% percent of happening.

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  7. @Bill you OK?,......were you affected by the 6.1 magnitude quake this morning? How close were you to the center?

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    1. All good, BigDaddy. Thanks for checking. I'll chronicle the experience in the next day or so!

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    2. We were about 50 miles away from the epicenter. You'll see I chronicled my experience here: http://www.minnesotaforecaster.com/2014/08/quake.html

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  8. I chronicled my experience of the earthquake in No. Cal. here: http://www.minnesotaforecaster.com/2014/08/quake.html

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