Friday, December 27, 2019

Mixed Bag Coming at Ya

It appears that mostly liquid is on the way for the Twin Cities, disappointing snow lovers yet again. Will the storm spring any surprises?

24 comments:

  1. Plymouth Weather LoverDecember 27, 2019 at 5:08 PM

    Dancing!!! Bring the snow. Whether it be frontside or backside, bring it! I will do the backside dance. Bring it!

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  2. Weather.com has 3-7” from Sunday night thru Monday night in west metro, just saying! I read what Novak said but most times then not wraparound/backside snows dont add up too much usually coating-2” amounts, I’ll guess we’ll see.

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  3. Plymouth Weather LoverDecember 27, 2019 at 10:13 PM

    The 12Z NAM is going kind of crazy. Maybe Novak is into something! Bring it!

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  4. Was just going to comment on that @PWL. But it’s not the 12Z, it’s the current 00z.
    00Z NAM: 7-9”
    00Z GFS: 2-4”
    Metro wide for late Sunday into Tuesday morning.
    EURO/Canadian 00Z models coming out shortly!

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    1. It appears the 12z GFS is only calling for about an inch of snow in southern MN Monday?

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  5. 00Z EURO/Canadian both show 5-7” metro wide!
    Good night folks.....let’s see what tomorrow brings.

    When was the last time we had precip for 4 straight days(that’s what’s forecasted Sat >Tues), I think we have only had 4 days of precipitation this whole month of December.

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  6. Freezing rain just sucks, period! Took the dog out just now and almost bit it twice. If it’s not going to snow then just give me rain, you can’t do anything with this but sit back and watch everyone slip sliding everywhere.

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    1. I agree. Even Metro Transit has shut down due to ice and the last time I saw that it was during an ice event the winter of '81-'82. Give us snow, please.

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  7. There’s another huge batch of precipitation entering the metro right now from the south and I have 30° on my thermometer here in Eden Prairie. It’s about to get worse!

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  8. What site does everyone use to see the model snow predictions? Is there a tab to click on that shows the predictions? Thanks!

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  9. I'm in Chicago for the holidays. It will be 47 today and 62 tomorrow. It's amazing how Minnesota just continues to have the worst, most miserable weather in the country, and it's not even that far from good weather.

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  10. Just saw on weather.com that the January temperature forecast has made an about face and is now reflecting above to well above normal temperatures for the eastern two thirds of the country, including Minnesota! WTH?!?

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    1. Interesting that noaa 'sticks with the change' they made a couple of months ago from warm to colder than norma, so it will be interesting to see 'who wins' the warm/cold forecast outlookl: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/multi_season/13_seasonal_outlooks/color/churchill.php

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  11. This is not a good article for those of us that like winter: https://www.accuweather.com/en/winter-weather/will-brutally-cold-air-in-alaska-make-its-way-into-the-lower-48-states/652360

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  12. 12Z NAM and GFS is out...
    GFS continues with around 2” after the transition to snow Sunday night
    NAM decreased drastically to around 2” as well.
    Backside of storm not looking as healthy as it did 12 hours ago.

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  13. 12Z EURO and Canadian: 3-6” metro wide

    Slightly lower then their 00Z runs from last night but noticeably higher then the American models(GFS/NAM).

    I hate that this isn’t an all snow event, sucks sitting here watching it rain in late December and hoping we get “some” snow here when we could have had a whole bunch more.

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  14. Novak's 2 p.m. FB update has the metro in a 4-6 inch band/range starting 6 a.m. Monday.

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  15. This forecast is some kind of messed up. Freezing rain wasn’t expected to be that severe and temps have not increased. 33 right now according to my optimistic car and sleet falling and ice forming again on some roads.

    If this keeps up and then it gets cold and flips to snow of 4-6, what a mess. Storm must be tracking further East than expected.

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  16. Regarding Monday's snow forecast for the metro, it looks like it's Novak vs. pretty much everybody else. In regard to Monday's snow in the metro, tonight the tv meteorologists were making comments such as "maybe a little slush"; "not much, so it won't pile up"; "some off and on snow showers"; etc. The NWS appears to be conflicting in its own forecast (e.g. reflecting 3-5 inches of snow Monday for Golden Valley, but showing a high temperature of 37 degrees, which they increased from 35 degrees earlier this afternoon. I guess time will tell. My money is on Novak!!

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  17. I agree. All of the models I just looked at are showing mostly an inch, a couple show possibly two inches, for the metro on Monday.

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  18. Plymouth Weather LoverDecember 28, 2019 at 10:05 PM

    So interesting to me. This storm is amazing. And amazingly interesting for forecasters!! Love the intrigue. I would absolutely love another video from Novak. Please?? Bring it!!

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  19. NWS is still going with 4-8 inches of snow along with more freezing drizzle/ice in the metro and a WWA from midnight tonight all the way until Tuesday 6 a.m. It was weird to hear rain the entire night here in the metro, and the rain is still going strong. What a mess!

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