Monday, April 15, 2013

Another April Snowstorm Brewing? Yeppers....

The broken record continues. More snow appears to be in the offing for later this week.

Here's what Tom Novak from @NovakWeather had to say about the prospects for snow this week.

In the meantime, TMF took a road trip to Kansas City this weekend... where spring was found to be more than a rumor!

Outdoor baseball the way it's meant to be -- in Kansas City.

Blooming trees in Kansas City.



27 comments:

  1. Welcome back Bill, great timing you have so you and Novak can discuss another winter storm....reading the NWS discussion its pretty confusing on totals they mention 4-8 and 8-10 and 2-6...but it looks like they have settled on 3-6, we'll see what happens!!!!

    ReplyDelete
  2. Plymouth Weather LoverApril 16, 2013 at 6:42 PM

    I need more comments/insight/forecasts!! There is potential for another winter storm with significant accumulations and I need to read all about it. I can't believe I am writing this in "almost late" April, but I need to: Bring it!!

    ReplyDelete
  3. It'll be interesting to see how this pans out. Most forecasts I've seen don't call for much snow at all. In fact I think Novak is the only one that has a decent amount of snow on the backside of the system. NWS had 1-3 only for Thursday night. PD just had "maybe a slushy inch" on his evening forecast tonight.

    ReplyDelete
  4. The NWS now has 4-8 inches in their 7-day forecast for the east metro area for Thurs night into Fri.

    ReplyDelete
  5. I'm still hoping this somehow misses us, but it's likely a heavier snow band sets up over the metro Thursday night into Friday morning. I've been thinking 3-6" so far, but I don't think 4-8" is out of line either. Will have a better idea tomorrow.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Randy....the GEM has been suggesting this for the last three days, the Euro and GFS seem to be on board. I have know idea what the Nam is doing, but I think it's flat out wrong. I hope our local media mets are not relaying on the Nam solution.

      Delete
    2. I agree, the GEM and ECMWF have been very consistent the last several days. Even the GFS has been more consistent in the last 24 hours. Who knows what the NAM is doing. I just had a discussion yesterday with a few coworkers about my ever growing frustrations with the American models.

      Delete
  6. http://origin-www.crh.noaa.gov/wxstory.php?site=mpx

    ReplyDelete
  7. Well Plymouth Weather Lover you got your wish for more chatter.....cuz I bet there will be a whole bunch now that the NWS has issued a winter storm watch for 10am Thursday thru 10am Friday and there graphic shows the metro in the heart of the best potential of 6+" band! This is crazy,I love snow but to be talking of snowstorms on the 18th and 19th of April is incredible!
    I wouldn't be surprised if a blizzard warning is issued in our CWA either with some strong winds coming with this snow!

    ReplyDelete
  8. Plymouth Weather LoverApril 16, 2013 at 10:32 PM

    Blizzard? Bring that too!

    ReplyDelete
  9. Latest video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w7szV_EGHRA

    ReplyDelete
  10. I know its amazing enough that were talking inches of snow tommorrow and Friday in mid-April.......but it doesn't stop there, NWS has snow mentioned in the grids for Saturday night and Monday night...I keep hearing about this warmth coming but everytime I look at an long range forecast it keeps getting bumped back and temps brought down abit.....so I ask a two-part trivia question: what is the latest measurable(NOT A TRACE) snowfall recored at MSP and the lastest 32 or less degree temperature?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. A couple seconds of googling found this:

      MEASURABLE ... MAY 24 1925 .... 0.1 in
      1" OR MORE ... MAY 20 1892 .... 3.0 in
      4" OR MORE ... APR 29 1984 .... 6.6 in

      Delete
    2. http://climate.umn.edu/doc/twin_cities/snowvar.htm

      Delete
    3. Latest 32F reading is 24 May 1925, same as the above snow day. The high for that day was 52. The snow must have fallen overnight or early in the morning.

      Delete
    4. @Disco80.....thank you for the info!

      Delete
  11. Interesting array of predictions for tomorrow. Weather.com app says 1-2 inches of wet snow. Hammer and Todd Nelson and Sven @ Kare seem to be on par with this as well, though Hammer said 2-4 I think. PD also said last night on his blog something to this effect. And others are much higher. Interesting!

    ReplyDelete
  12. Yogi's coming, winter storm Yogi is going to effect us, what a bear!
    Novak says 6-9!!!!!!!

    ReplyDelete
  13. Actually, I'm going with a solid 4"-8" across the MSP metro with the heaviest snows NW metro & another strong gradient from NW to SE across the metro. However, if everything plays out perfectly, the MSP metro would be right in the axis and/or heart of the heavy snow. However, as of now, I believe that the axis will be located just NW of the metro core. Perhaps on a line from Monticello to Duluth.

    This storm appears to "Bomb" or intensify right over eastern MN later tomorrow. This rapid intensification will likely create 'Dynamic Cooling' that, in turn, will turn any liquid over to snow by THUR afternoon.

    ReplyDelete
  14. What is the expected snow-to-liquid equivalent for this storm?

    ReplyDelete
  15. Plymouth Weather LoverApril 17, 2013 at 3:52 PM

    Ok. Now that the official Winter Storm Warning was issued, we can really let the discussion begin. NWS is going with 6-8 for metro. I want even more, but what do people think? I want to be more excited that I already am, if that is possible. Bring......it.......!!!!!

    ReplyDelete
  16. Belinda Jensen is calling for the most snow St. Cloud north, only 1-3 in the metro, 5 inches in Maple Lake. Too conservative (as usual)???

    ReplyDelete
  17. Kare 11 does seem to have a history of being very conservative. What's with that? How accurate are they really?

    ReplyDelete
  18. I live in South Mpls just across the bridge from Highland Park. I'm in a Warning for 6-8 inches, but across the bridge they're only in an Advisory for 3-5. :)

    ReplyDelete
  19. Lets assume that it does snow about 6" in the metro. How much of that accumulates? All of it?

    ReplyDelete
  20. Why did the NWS page for Mpls go from 3-5 to 1-3 for Thursday night? I thought things were trending higher.

    ReplyDelete